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Navigating Washington’s Political Landscape: Government Funding, Polling, and AI Policy Updates

Welcome from Washington, DC where the leaves continue to fall, and the temperature remains much like Congress – a mystery as to what happens next.  This weekend saw a round of football where your author did not bother to watch his failing New York Giants lose again, but he did get pleasure in watching the Cowboys fall to the Eagles.  With the cheers from my jubilant four-year-old daughter, I watched the second Paw Patrol Movie this weekend: The Mighty Pups, on a big screen while both wanting the movie to end quickly but also fearing what will happen with my daughter’s behavior once the movie concluded (I got her to focus her energy after the movie by bribing her with Chick-Fil-A).  Of course, the entire situation reminded me of Congress and funding the government – facing an unsatisfactory continuing resolution which can make the average person cringe as lawmakers will most likely go home and blame the other side for a failure to produce a working budget. We are 12 days away from the government running out of money… no need to worry!  Welcome to the Week Ahead!

The Administration

The Biden Administration spent part of the weekend dismissing new polling which shows only 33% of Americans view Biden favorably, but it also shows only 29% view Trump in a favorable light.  The administration says polling one year away from Election Day is not representative of Election results.  The Biden Administration continues to move forward with its domestic policy agenda in health care following the release of its artificial intelligence (AI) executive order.  Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra will testify at a Senate Appropriations Full Committee Hearing on Wednesday to discuss the President’s supplemental request for HHS.  The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services will continue its patient focused listening sessions on Medicare drug pricing negotiations.  The listening sessions focus on input from patients, caregivers, and advocacy organizations on certain medications selected for drug pricing negotiations. This policy continues to be a top priority of the Biden Administration heading into 2024. The sessions are open to the public and will continue through November 15.

The Senate

The Senate is in session today and will hold a procedural vote for President Biden’s nominee to lead the National Institutes of Health, Monica Bertagnolli.  The nomination is expected to pass the upper chamber with bipartisan support with a final vote expected tomorrow.  Senators are also moving forward with conversations on a bipartisan supplemental appropriations package which could link border security funding to aid for Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan.  Last week’s House passed package for Israel funding for $14.3 billion is considered a non-starter in the Senate due to opposition from the administration and Senate leadership.

As the Senate continues to track bipartisan policy issues such as mental health, the Senate Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the Law will conduct a hearing on “Social Media and the Teen Mental Health Crisis” on Tuesday.  As mentioned in previous reports, the Senate continues to take the lead on policy related to AI with two committee hearings scheduled this Wednesday.  The Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs will hold a hearing entitled, “The Philosophy of AI: Learning from History and Shaping Our Future”.  Additionally, the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions, Subcommittee on Primary Health and Retirement Security, will hold a hearing entitled, “Avoiding a Cautionary Tale: Policy Considerations for Artificial Intelligence in Health Care.”  In other notable activity for this Wednesday, the Senate Finance Committee will hold a markup on mental health and a pharmacy benefit reform package.  The package includes language previously introduced in July on PBMs, as well as includes language on expanding mental health care under Medicare and Medicaid and reducing prescription drug costs for seniors. The package also includes Medicaid and Medicare provisions that will expire this year, as well as changes to Medicare payment to support physicians and other professionals.

The House

With 12 days remaining until government funding expires, all eyes remain on the House for what is to come on what happens next.  Newly anointed Speaker Johnson will look to move a funding bill this week to prevent a government shutdown.  The House Republican Conference meets tomorrow in a closed meeting and details are expected to emerge as to next steps after the gathering. Intel from the Hill suggests the Speaker favors a clean government funding bill through January 12th.  This package could be the easiest to get through the House and provide the House to gather more time for a long-term spending package.  Other pathways for government funding mentions a “laddered approach CR” which would extend government funding for each agency for different periods of time, and funding that is tied to H.R. 2 – a GOP immigration bill.  These two approaches are guaranteed to go nowhere in the Senate and are also opposed by the administration.  In other appropriations business, the House passed its (FY) Interior-Environment spending bill last week and was held up on final passage of its Transportation-HUD appropriations bill as Republican members from the Empire State expressed concerns over cuts to public transit.

Create a great week!

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AI, Funding Bills, and Bipartisan Hopes

Good morning from Washington DC and welcome back after a week which the House of Representatives elected a new Speaker of the House, Representative Mike Johnson (R-La.)!  After much fanfare and internal squabbling, House Republicans came together last week and decided to move forward in a collegial (almost friendly) manner to select the new Speaker.  Speaking of friendly, this weekend saw the passing of Friends star Matthew Perry leaving many of us nostalgic over the years 1994-2004 and offering a bit of nostalgia for more bipartisan times.  Now that the House can move forward in normal order, we are reminded that larger issues remain.  With Halloween tomorrow, your author will be going door to door with his two young children and hoping that lawmakers can put on their best bipartisan costumes and work together to help prevent the upcoming government shutdown.  What’s next?  These are the questions we are examining in this Halloween edition of the Week Ahead!

The Administration

In a bold move to take the lead in the artificial intelligence arena, the Biden Administration issued a landmark Executive Order on “Safe Secure and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence” in an effort to position America as frontrunner in the use of AI. The EO aims to protect Americans from the harmful effects of AI systems, build cybersecurity systems to develop AI tools, develop protocols for AI and national security, and advance the responsibility of AI in healthcare practices. In terms of healthcare specifically, the EO directs the Department of Health and Human Services to create a program to evaluate potentially harmful AI-related healthcare practices. It will aim to advance the responsible use of AI in healthcare and the development of affordable and life-saving drugs.  The EO comes at a time where both the House and the Senate are admittedly months away from developing legislation, and where 7 in 10 Americans remain concerned about the use of AI in healthcare.

The Senate

The Senate is back in action today, continuing efforts to resume passage of the three-bill “minibus” containing the funding bills for the Agriculture-FDA, Transportation-HUD, and Military Construction-VA. Last week Senators discussed various proposed amendments to the appropriations package and will continue to address pending amendments this week, with the goal of passing the package by the end of the week.  In notable committee activity, the Senate Health, Education, and Labor Pensions Committee, Subcommittee on Employment and Workplace Safety, will hold a hearing on Tuesday entitled, “AI and the Future of Work: Moving Forward Together.”  Is it possible Senators will display AI avatars dressed for Halloween? On Wednesday, The Senate Committee on Veterans’ Affairs will hold a hearing entitled “Foundation of Care: Examining Research at the Department of Veterans Affairs.”

As we look towards November 17th and the next government shutdown date, we are left to wonder where various healthcare efforts remain.  The Senate will look to move forward with bipartisan efforts to reign in pharmacy benefit managers and expand access to mental health services.  Leader Schumer still has eyes on passing a bipartisan health package.  Senators from both sides of the aisle have been on record opposing Medicaid DSH cuts which were prevented as part of the current short-term funding measure. The upper chamber will undoubtedly look to continue to prevent the scheduled cuts in any upcoming government funding package.

The House

The House returns on Wednesday with a round of votes on censures of certain members, as well as addressing funding proposals for Israel and Ukraine.  Newly elected Speaker Johnson is in favor of separating funding of Israel from Ukraine and is working on an aid package to Israel with attached pay-fors.  The White House asked for emergency funding for Israel, and it is highly unusual that such a request be accompanied by pay-fors.  The House Freedom Caucus, in a friendly effort to back the Speaker, appears to be ready to provide Speaker Johnson with some slack as it relates to negotiating a continuing resolution to fund the government.  The Speaker and his team are looking at January 15th or April 15th of next year as potential dates to extend funding of the government.  Other funding purists in the House wish to move forward with passing as many appropriations bills as possible. For the moment, healthcare legislation remains on the backburner, except for larger items such as preventing large Medicaid DSH payment cuts – which could be part of a CR as bipartisan support remains for the issue.

Create a great week!

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International Crisis and Washington in Limbo

Good morning from Washington DC where the leaves are beginning to signal the change of the season while much remains the same in the House of Representatives. Last night your author took his seven-year-old son and four-year-old daughter to “Boo at the Zoo” held at Smithsonian’s National Zoo.  The logjam and chaos ensued when trying to enter the zoo by car and get to a parking lot. While sitting in the car for minutes on end, I could only think of the current legislative purgatory in which we find ourselves. My mind also wondered to football where my underdog New York Giants defeated the Washington Commanders – reminding me that anything is possible. With those two thoughts converging, we remain hopeful that at some point the House will find its way to its parking lot and spike its metaphorical football to elect a new Speaker. We currently stand at nine candidates for Speaker of the House – which begs the question – can you too be Speaker?  Welcome to the Week Ahead!

The Administration

Last week, President Biden made the case for the United States supporting Israel following the attacks by Hamas. The President is also making the case for a funding package to include aid to Israel and Ukraine, while also giving a nod to Republicans by including funding for border security. Behind the scenes the administration is continuing to work to provide humanitarian aid to Gaza and on hostage negotiations.  The President is already facing Senate opposition to his grouping of aid to Israel and Ukraine together, as Republican Senator JD Vance (Ohio) is circulating a letter to colleagues outlining the differences in our nation’s approach to Israel versus Ukraine.  Minority Leader McConnell (R-Kentucky) has already signaled he is ok with linking aid to both Israel and Ukraine.

On the health care front, Secretary of Health and Human Services Becerra continues to speak about the importance of the Inflation Reduction Act on reducing health care costs. This Thursday he will speak at the National Press Club regarding his agenda of reducing health care costs and eliminating health disparities among other topics.  Later today the President will hold an event on Bidenomics. With government funding ending on November 17, the President must figure out a way to lean in on Congress in the coming weeks.

The Senate

The Senate returns to legislative business on Tuesday of this week.  The upper chamber plans to take up President Biden’s nominee for the Federal Aviation Administration on Tuesday. Additionally, Senators will resume discussions on the previously pending three-bill minibus which includes the fiscal year 2024 appropriations bills for Agriculture-FDA, Transportation-HUD, and Military Construction-VA.  On Wednesday, the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee will hold an Executive Session on nominations to include Monica Bertagnolli to be Director of the National Institutes of Health.  On Thursday, the Senate Special Committee on Aging will hold a hearing entitled, “Unlocking Hope: Access to Therapies for People with Rare, Progressive, and Serious Diseases.” This Friday, the Senate HELP Committee will conduct a field hearing in New Jersey entitled, “Overworked and Undervalued: Is the Severe Hospital Staffing Crisis Endangering the Well-Being of Patients and Nurses?”

The House

The drama continues in the House where the Republicans find themselves leaderless after Congressman Matt Gaetz (R-FL) called for the motion to vacate several weeks ago. The House Republicans cannot secure 217 votes to move on with the House’s business. Both Steve Scalise (R-LA) and Jim Jordan (R-OH) that have been nominated over the past two weeks and both their campaigns were unsuccessful. Jim Jordan had three votes on the house floor and Steve Scalise never made it to the floor, as each vote accumulated MORE opposition to his candidacy.  The other solution to move on with the House’s business was to nominate Congressman Patrick McHenry (R-NC) to be the Speaker Pro-Tem to continue legislative business till the end of the year. That solution was quickly voted down in Conference.

As previously mentioned, we currently have NINE nominations for Speaker of the House. Most notably the current WHIP Tom Emmer (R-MN), Byron Donalds (R-FL), former NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions (R-TX), Mike Johnson (R-LA), and Kevin Hern (R-OK). Based off reports and our intel, it currently seems unlikely that any of these members will get to the voting threshold of 217. Rep. Emmer has a great infrastructure already established for getting votes and appears to be the current frontrunner. However, he faces opposition from former President Trump as Rep. Emmer has bucked Trump in the past. It will be interesting to see how the internal politics plays out this week. The conference will meet today and begin voting on a Speaker tomorrow. The lowest vote getters in each round get bumped off, well because – they are the weakest link.

As the country waits for the Republican Conference to find a Speaker, we have less than 30 days to fund the government, a foreign affairs package to aid Ukraine and Israel, and other legislative priorities for the remainder of the year. Time waits for no one – and House Republicans need to move quickly. Senate Republicans are also weighing into the matter, recognizing the standstill is not beneficial to the Republican Party for the 2024 elections or movement on any of the important issues which currently stand before Congress.

This week the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Health will host a hearing on the long-term care workforce this Wednesday.  The hearing is entitled, “Supporting Access to Long-Term Services and Supports: An Examination of the Impacts of Proposed Regulations on Workforce and Access to Care.”  The subcommittee wants to focus on how proposed regulations on the health care workforce, to include the Biden administrations proposed rule on nursing home ratios, could affect access to care.

Create a great week!

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Political Gridlock, International Tensions, and NFL Upsets

Good Morning and welcome from Washington D.C. where Congress adverted shutdown several weeks ago and is still in gridlock like D.C. traffic on the beltway.  Tension continues to rise from the horrific attacks on Israeli citizens more than a week ago. The Republican House still has not elected a Speaker and has had as many candidates fail. Where the Cleveland Browns were triumphant against the 49ers in the biggest upset of the NFL season and the Washington Commanders skated by the lowly Atlanta Falcons. Both houses are back to business this week… Welcome to the week ahead!

The Administration

The Biden Administration is currently working to show support for events in Israel, while also looking to tie funding for Ukraine and Israel together to capitalize on bipartisan support for Israel. In the healthcare realm, the administration continues to move forward on Tuesday in light of congressional stagnation. Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra will be featured on a webinar hosted by The Washington Post focused on the next generation of challenges and innovations in health care. Additionally that day, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Administrator Brooks LaSure will host the Quarterly CMS stakeholder call.

The Senate

The upper chamber returns to business this week with an eye on approving nominations.  The Senate will look to move the Jack Lew nomination as Ambassador to Israel amid the Israel-Hamas conflict. Additionally, on Wednesday the Senate HELP Committee will look to hold a hearing for Monica Bertagnolli to serve as Director of the National Institutes of Health.  Also on Wednesday the Senate Budget Committee will hold a hearing on lowering health care costs.  Finally, the Senate Finance Committee will hold a hearing on MA enrollment entitled, “Medicare Advantage Annual Enrollment: Cracking Down on Deceptive Practices and Improving Senior Experiences.”

House

Last week was dramatic as the Republican Conference still cannot get to 217 votes to elect a new Speaker after Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)  was forced to vacate the Chair. Lots of people continue to run for Speaker but have been unsuccessful in their bids. Last Wednesday, Steve Scalise (R-LA) won the nomination on a slim vote (110-99 with additional help from 3 delegates who cannot vote on the floor), but could not get enough Republican support to get the votes on the House Floor to confirm his Speakership.

Jim Jordan who ran against him initially (and actually backed him) was drafted to run again. Austin Scott (R-GA) had a brief run and it really never got out of the starting gate. Currently Jim Jordan (R-OH) is the only person in the race but is 40 plus votes shy to get nominated. Presiding Speaker McHenry has no power to move any legislation so the House of Representatives is at a legislative standstill. A group of six moderate Democrats said they would support a McHenry bid if he wanted it, but McHenry (as of now) does not have any interest of taking the gavel.

There are a little more than 30 days till the government runs out of funding. There is no one to negotiate a deal for the Republican controlled house for a CR because there is no leadership in the House. This has caused a legislative stoppage of all House Committees and no key legislation is going to move forward until the Republicans decide who is going to be Speaker of the House. Additionally, there are several pressing issues that are facing Congress besides government funding like aid packages to Israel and Ukraine. Hopefully, the House decides on who their next Speaker will be so they can fund the government and work on the aid packages to the biggest hot spots in the world right now.

Committee work resumes in the House despite the Speaker voting drama. On Thursday, October 19 the Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Health host a hearing entitled, “What’s the Prognosis?: Examining Medicare Proposals to Improve Patient Access to Care & Minimize Red Tape for Doctors.”

Create a great week!

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House Speaker Race Intensifies Amidst Global Turmoil

Good morning from a frazzled Washington, DC following a three-day weekend where not much has changed – but everything has at the same time.  Much like my six-year-old son in his almost empty jiujitsu class last night due to the holiday, the House is the only game in town.  Just as my son has previously struggled to nail certain moves, we have all seen the House struggle to function in the best of times. The Senate is out until next week, and all eyes remain on the race for the next House Speaker. This week we get into a quick overview of the candidates and where the House is in the process.  Of course, the politics of the House are taking on new urgency as Hamas militants attacked Israel leaving hundreds dead and many (including US citizens) taken as hostages.  Bipartisan calls for assistance to Israel are underway, complicating political stances on foreign affairs issues for members of both parties.

Speaker’s Race

The Speaker’s race has come down to two candidates. Jim Jordan (R-OH) and Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA). Today, Republican House members will meet in conference. Both candidates will make a case to the Republicans on why they should lead the party (and the House) into the remaining of the year.  On Wednesday, the House is expected to vote for a new Speaker, but will Republicans have agreed on their leader? Here we run down the ins and outs of the candidates for the Speakership.

Jim Jordan (R-0H)

Jim Jordan is an ultra-conservative right leaning candidate. He can garner solid support from the House Freedom Caucus and other conservative members. Jordan has the backing of many conservatives as well as former President Trump. He is in the inner circle of former Speaker McCarthy.  If the former Speaker decides to put his weight behind the Jordan candidacy, it will ensure him the necessary votes to put him over the edge. Currently, it is believed that Jim Jordan will have to do a lot of back-room dealings to keep the rank and file happy, and he would have to make deals to keep the status quo while trying to unite the Conference.

Steve Scalise (R-LA)

Steve Scalise is the current Majority Leader in the House. He is known for his fundraising abilities, and he is the former Republican Study Conference (RSC) Chairman who took out a rank-and-file member Peter Roskam back in 2014. He was quietly working behind the scenes for the Speakership until former Speaker McCarthy decided to resign. He has a lot of support amongst the rank and file, but he will have a difficult time delivering the Freedom Caucus as they view him a continuation of McCarthy’s leadership. Also, Leader Scalise is recovering from cancer and his health remains a concern for some members.

Patrick McHenry (R-NC)

There are several rank and file and former McCarthy loyalists calling for the drafting of McHenry for Speaker because of his leadership as the presiding Chair. This would be a difficult climb with the Freedom Caucus as they view him as a continuation of the McCarthy era. Even though several of the Freedom Caucus members are impressed with his leadership abilities.

Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)

Kevin McCarthy (you are reading this correctly) there is a long shot bid that McCarthy could become Speaker once again. Since the attack on Israel this past weekend, many are wanting him to put his hat in the ring because of his leadership abilities and help guide the conference through a very difficult time with the current pressing foreign policy issues.  Additionally, many in the Republican Caucus are unsure if Scalise or Jordan can get to 217 votes. McCarthy stated he would return to the role if that were the will of the party.

Senators and former Speaker Kevin McCarthy were on the Sunday talk shows highlighting the need for the House to come together and select a Speaker considering current world events. Hopefully, the resolve will come by Wednesday where they are expected to vote on a new Speaker.

The Administration

President Biden will make remarks later this afternoon on the attacks on Israel.  The Hamas attack has upended much of the President’s political calculus on other issues. Bipartisan lawmakers are urging the Biden administration to pursue a joint aid package for Israel and Ukraine that would capitalize on bipartisan support for the Jewish state.  Such efforts could overcome opposition from some Republicans on continued funding for Ukraine.

On the health front, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) will host its Quarterly National Stakeholder with Administrator Brooks LaSure to discuss implementation of CMS’ Strategic National Plan.  Interested parties can register here.

Create a great day!

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