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Lawmakers return to Washington following a week of Republican rebellion, including a bipartisan Senate War Powers Resolution to limit future military action against Venezuela and a House bill to extend Obamacare subsidies with more than a dozen House Republicans voting yes. 2026 is off to a rough start for party unity but let’s see what happens this week! Welcome to the Week Ahead!
The Administration
Speaking of Republicans sticking together, did you see this one? The President casually mentioned he might veto an extension of enhanced Advance Premium Tax Credits (APTCs) if the Senate passed one. Wait, what?
It’s one thing to break with leaders on Hyde Amendment restrictions – the President doesn’t necessarily agree with his party on that one – but comments like these make the already-difficult path ahead on the insurance subsidies just that much harder.
And on the AI front, the President also praised the Meta’s hiring of Dina Powell McCormick in a new role to impact governments and sovereigns on AI. Reporting directly to Mark Zuckerberg, Powell McCormick has been a leader in global finance since her post with President George W. Bush, and also happens to be the wife of Sen. Dave McCormick of Pennsylvania.
The Senate
The Senate is feeling the heat to act on APTCs, given the House passage of a 3-year extension of the enhanced APTCs with a whopping 17 GOP members voting for it. As we mentioned previously, this bill has no chance in the Senate, but there has been discussion of using it as a vehicle for the bipartisan proposal.
Now, the details of what that bipartisan package could look like are starting to come into focus. It’s expected that the bipartisan bill would include a 2-year extension of the enhanced APTCs, with reforms such as an income cap, the elimination of zero-premium plans, and expanded access to health savings accounts.
The talks over this proposal have been complicated by the fact that Republicans want to include language called the Hyde Amendment which prevents tax dollars from going to plans that provide abortions. Although some Senate Republicans have reportedly indicated a willingness to be flexible on this point, our conversations on the Hill indicate that this remains a potential pitfall. Democratic Senators, including Senate Finance Committee Chair Ron Wyden (D-OR), have also raised concerns that eliminating zero-premium plans would harm low-income enrollees.
The Senate Appropriations Committee released text for a Fiscal Year minibus for State and Financial Services programs, a step towards preventing a government shutdown at the end of the month. However, the package notably does not fund the Department of Homeland Security, which was reportedly under consideration. This may mean there is disagreement, or this may be a reaction to the continuing controversial actions by the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.
Health Care Hearings This Week
- January 15: Senate HELP Committee Executive Session to consider legislation on lung cancer research, ED fentanyl testing, rural hospital cybersecurity, and infant formula safety
The House
The House made progress on appropriations by passing H.R.6938 to fund Commerce, Energy and Water, and Interior. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise’s (R-LA) schedule for the week of January 12 says “consideration of items related to FY26 Appropriations are possible” as leaders work to combine the remaining appropriations bills into at least two separate minibuses.
In case you’ve lost count, there are still six appropriations bills left to pass before January 30 to avoid a partial government shutdown, including the bill that funds the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).
House health care committee leaders are busy prepping for their affordability hearing on January 22. The Energy and Commerce and Ways and Means Committees announced they would haul in 5 of the largest insurance companies to face questions about lower costs in the commercial market.
Health Care Hearings This Week
- January 13: House Oversight Subcommittee on Gov Operations hearing on preventing fraud in federal programs
- January 13: House VA Health Subcommittee legislative hearing
There You Have It
Did you watch the Golden Globes? Hamnet, a recently released dramatic tale about Shakespeare and his family, won Best Picture and Best Female Actor. Have you seen it? Tell us if you would have voted for it! Make it a great week.
On December 17, 2025, the Joint Economic Committee held a hearing on realigning health care incentives to improve outcomes and reduce costs. The committee was very interested in the ideas shared by the witnesses and in working together to find long-term ways to reduce health care costs.
WITNESS TESTIMONY
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Mr. Brooks Tingle, CEO, John Hancock Financial – Testimony
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Dr. Ed Clarke, Vice President, Chief Medical Officer of the Insurance Division, Banner Health – Testimony
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Mr. Avik Roy, Co-Founder and Chairman, The Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity – Testimony
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Mr. Matthew Fiedler, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution Center on Health Policy – Testimony
MEMBER DISCUSSION
Vice Chairman Eric Schmitt (R-MO) began the discussion by asking how policymakers can address families applying for coverage without immigration status verification. Mr. Roy responded that verifying social security numbers could improve program integrity across both income and immigration status verification. He also suggested basing subsidies on the previous year’s tax returns instead of estimated future income. To address the issue of overutilization, Mr. Clarke recommended the Banner Model, which manages a population. Mr. Clarke argued that this incentivizes preventive care and primary care to reduce costs.
Ranking Member Maggie Hassan (D-NH) asked Mr. Tingle to speak to the positives of preventive and primary care, specifically for cost reduction. Mr. Tingle shared that prevention and early detection are key to success, but his company also believes it has a responsibility to ensure its customers have access to advancements in screening and technology so they can use the information to inform decision-making. Ranking Member Hassan then asked how increased access to enhanced Advance Premium Tax Credits (APTCs) in the ACA marketplace can lead to better preventive care. Mr. Fielder responded that if an individual is uninsured, they have reduced access to care, especially preventive care, which can lead to higher costs down the road.
Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R-NY-11) questioned how to incentivize better, healthier decisions to lower premium costs. Mr. Roy responded that the ACA prevents charging different premiums based on health status, which he argued can make it difficult to incentivize health in the short term. He recommended adopting the Swiss model, where, among other differences, health insurance plans span multiple years and refunds can be issued for improved health status. When Rep. Malliotakis asked about how to reduce predatory pharmacy benefit manager (PBM) practices, Mr. Fiedler shared that it is difficult since there is very little competition for PBMs. Fixing that, he said, is the first step to addressing the issue.
Rep. Gwen Moore (D-WI-4) expressed her frustration that the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) does not score preventive care well, which can make it difficult to craft legislation for preventive care. She questioned whether the large increase in premium prices could be traced to the ACA, but Mr. Fiedler responded that ACA marketplace premiums are comparable to private insurance premiums. He also shared that health care as a share of US GDP has remained steady over the last decade.
Sen. Ashley Moody (R-FL) asked the panel whether there should be a health care fraud czar to oversee the numerous health programs, but Mr. Roy felt that improving program structure overall would be more effective at reducing fraud.
Rep. Don Beyer (D-VA-08) asked Mr. Fiedler how he should respond to hospital arguments against site-neutral payment. Mr. Fiedler responded that he did not think the services targeted for site-neutral payments are any more complex in hospital settings than in other care settings, which he said was the main argument hospitals use. Rep. Beyer then asked how the US can move away from the employer-based insurance system. Mr. Roy shared that the best approach would be to create an individual market with affordable plans offering high-quality care, which employers can then help fund.
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) requested that Mr. Fiedler share how extending the enhanced APTCs could impact competition. Mr. Fidler shared that tax credits allow more individuals to purchase care, thereby expanding the market. As a result, he said, more insurers enter the ACA market, which increases competition. Sen. Klobuchar then asked Mr. Clarke to explain how quality, affordable coverage leads to more preventative care. Mr. Clarke responded that rewarding physicians for improved patient outcomes, which can only be achieved through health insurance coverage, creates better incentives for primary care physicians to engage in preventive patient care.
Chairman David Schweikert (R-AZ) was curious about what has been the biggest success in incentivizing behavior change. Mr. Tingle responded that the biggest surprise is that behavior change is achievable with the correct incentives and that small prices, such as a $5 gift card, have incentivized the behavior change. In discussing ways to reduce health spending with Chairman Schweikert, Mr. Roy pointed out that while prevention can reduce costs, it can also lead to higher expenditure. Mr. Clarke favored a capitation model, but Mr. Fiedler suggested that a complete capitation model might result in reduced health services.
Lawmakers have returned to Washington, still trying to make sense of the surprising raid that led to the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife. Meanwhile, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) has a New Year’s Eve resolution to show voters House Republicans are serious about lowering health care costs after the expiration of enhanced ACA premium tax credits (APTCs). As with all New Year’s resolutions, it’s easier said than done. It’s going to be a crazy year, so let’s get back into it. Welcome to the Week Ahead!
The Administration
The much-anticipated Rural Health Transformation Program awards are out and the White House is wasting no time touting the initial funding with newspaper clippings from all 50 states. In addition to expected public events on how the funding is advancing the Make America Healthy Again agenda, be on the lookout for the first annual CMS Rural Health Summit in March during the 2026 CMS Quality Conference.
States and stakeholders are also eagerly awaiting clarifications from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) on Medicaid work requirements that are expected to be finalized in June 2026. The qualifying activities, and more importantly, the exemptions to work requirements, will drastically shape who will be eligible for services.
CMS has also entered the annual Medicare Advantage policy and payment cycle. The agency issued the Contract Year 2027 MA and Part D policy and technical changes proposed rule on November 25, 2025, with comments due January 26, 2026. The proposed Advance Notice is still pending at the Office of Management and Budget.
The Senate
Despite failing to pass either GOP and Democratic health care bill before the break, Senators continued bipartisan talks over the holidays. These talks have involved Sens. Bernie Moreno (R-OH), Susan Collins (R-ME), and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), among others. Notably, Sens. Moreno and Collins have been pushing for a proposed two-year extension of the tax credits, along with measures to address concerns about fraudulent activity in the ACA marketplace.
These bipartisan talks are important to watch, as the real challenge is taking up a measure that can meet the Senate’s 60-vote threshold. While the House will be taking up a three-year, clean extension of the enhanced APTCs in January, that bill is DOA in the Senate. There have been discussions, however, that the House bill could be used as a vehicle for a bipartisan package in the Senate.
There’s also that pesky upcoming government funding deadline – January 30 – that will require attention. This has major implications for health care extenders, such as the Medicare telehealth flexibilities and funding for community health centers, which are tied to the soon-to-expire government funding. Congressional GOP appropriators in the House and Senate did reach an agreement on topline funding over the holidays, causing Senate Majority Leader Thune (R-SD) to suggest he may not continue pursuing the five-bill minibus he has been trying to move.
The real question remains as to each side’s stomach for another government shutdown with precious little time left before the deadline for members of Congress to work out their differences. Nothing has really changed since the previous shutdown, though maintaining government funding during an active period of foreign policy could change the dynamic.
The House
Speaker Johnson intends to make health care a focus in 2026 for his conference, and he believes that a partisan reconciliation package could be used to advance those policies. While Speaker Johnson would rather talk about expanding health savings accounts and association health plans, he can’t escape the divisive issue in his conference on what to do with the expired APTCs. We expect Democrats to continue attacking moderate and vulnerable Republican members about their failure to address health care costs – a fact that will ensure these GOP members continue to press for legislation on APTCs.
Meanwhile, a three-year APTC extension will be put to a vote, reportedly as soon as January 9, thanks to a discharge petition brought by House Democratic leadership that has gained the support of four moderate House Republicans.
The House Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee is wasting no time by jumping right back into health care policy with a legislative hearing on 10 proposals to support access to Medicare services, including clinical lab testing, quality reporting, supplemental oxygen and CMS’ new WISeR Model.
There You Have It
If you like college football, we can’t imagine you were disappointed with the games in the College Football Playoff series – unless, of course, your team lost. This week’s games will be awesome! Do you think Indiana can keep it going? Let us know. Make it a great week!
On December 11, 2025, the Medicaid and CHIP Payment and Access Commission (MACPAC) met for their December meeting. The Commissioners examined strategies for implementing the community engagement requirements which were signed into law under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
CONSIDERATIONS FOR IMPLEMENTING COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT REQUIREMENTS: FINDINGS FROM STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEWS
MACPAC staff began by reviewing the community engagement requirements and current clarifications before sharing their findings from stakeholder interviews. The interviews were conducted between June and August of 2025 and included stakeholders such as CMS officials, state Medicaid directors, representatives of national advocacy organizations, and think tank staff.
One of the largest concerns raised by interview participants was how states will access community engagement data. For example, while free data sources are available, they are often not updated in a timely manner or provide aggregated data, making it difficult for state Medicaid agencies to comply with verification requirements. Paid data sources can be timelier but are also expensive. For example, it was reported that North Carolina’s contract with Equifax for its data set doubled from 2022 to 2025. Stakeholders have requested that Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) provide guidance on free data sources or enter into agreements to reduce costs for paid data sources.
Another major concern raised by stakeholders is the cost of IT infrastructure changes. These infrastructure changes are needed to adequately meet reporting requirements but can cause administrative budgets to balloon. For instance, Georgia recently saw 90% of administrative spending go towards IT infrastructure upgrades.
During Commissioner discussion, there continued to be concerns raised about the cost and requirements of implementing new IT structures. One Commissioner verified that state funds were still being matched at a rate of 10 to 90 for IT upgrades. There was also concern about how to best report verification data, especially for populations that may not have access to technology or digital tools. One suggestion was to look for ways to track and manage data that does not put the impetus on the individual to prove their exemption status or continued eligibility.
The opportunities for managed care organizations were also discussed, with multiple Commissioners highlighting how they have previously been critical to successful engagement with their members. Commissioners discussed continuing to explore how other similar partners could increase engagement, especially in maintaining timely data and finding a framework for effective monitoring.
One Commissioner emphasized the importance of understanding and comparing infrastructure and policy decisions across states to gain a clearer picture of how each state is managing the rollout. The Commissioner noted that this would become more important if some states see enrollment numbers drop drastically, and that it is important to pause and intervene to prevent large population segments from losing their health care coverage.
The Chair concluded the session by suggesting that the Commission should reexamine some rules and regulations regarding managed care plans and their role in helping individuals remain eligible.
EXPERT PANEL ON IMPLEMENTING COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT REQUIREMENTS
MACPAC invited Lindsay Browning, Deputy Executive Director of Programs, National Association of Medicaid Directors, and Caprice Knapp, Principal Deputy, Center for Medicaid and CHIP Services, to answer questions from MACPAC staff and Commissioners.
The panel opened with questions from MACPAC staff. The first topic focused on what Ms. Browning and Ms. Knapp were hearing from states, as well as the deeper policy questions states have been grappling with. Ms. Knapp answered that CMS is seeing a lot of alignment with the responses MACPAC staff have reported from stakeholders, with the greatest emphasis on timelines and IT infrastructure. Deeper policy questions have related to how best to convert the data states can access into acceptable formats and how to partner with the respective Departments of Education. She emphasized that questions can be sent to medicaidreforms@cms.hhs.gov. Ms. Browning also noted alignment with interviews conducted by MACPAC staff, in which states emphasized concerns about member engagement. She also said she has been receiving policy questions about differential impacts of the community work requirements between states and how states can best show a clear paper trail for future audits.
When asked about which areas state agencies are seeking additional federal guidance, Ms. Browning emphasized the need for states to receive early signals from CMS about future guidance. More clarity on where CMS will be specific or flexible with implementation requirements, what the minimum product looks like for IT solutions, and data reporting expectations were also of interest. Ms. Knapp did not provide a clear answer on what additional guidance states could expect from CMS before June 2026. She did highlight the monthly informational calls and all state calls that CMS intends to continue as good sources of information and early signaling.
Ms. Browning was also asked about what lessons from the recent unwinding of the Public Health Emergency (PHE) could be applied to the rollout of the community engagement requirements, Ms. Browning made it clear that while there are similarities, the new community engagement requirements are not an established body of policy that can be examined; instead, decisions are being made now and in the future. That said, she feels that the increased automation of eligibility policies and the advancement of community engagement structures in the unwinding were helpful. Ms. Knapp emphasized the importance of outreach and vendor and managed care plan engagement for being successful.
Answers to questions about monitoring implementation and data collection emphasized minimizing the burden on states by clarifying what needs to be reported and creating a list of a reasonable number of measures. Building on existing systems and adopting a collaborative approach with CMS were listed as strategies for long-term implementation success.
The floor was then opened for Commissioners to ask questions directly, starting with what states are seeing as initial priorities. Ms. Knapp shared that, in her experience, states are seeking guidance on the minimum viable product for data reporting and clarification on qualifying events and medical fragility exemptions. Ms. Browning reported that states are most concerned with verifying employment, income, and education, with discussions about expanding to the volunteering category to take place later.
A couple of Commissioners raised concerns about how CMS will evaluate whether states are prepared to roll out the new requirements. Ms. Knapp assured questioners that both IT and policy readiness review parameters are in place. CMS is also working with states that are choosing to start implementation early, allowing them to avoid disenrolling individuals through a hold-harmless period. CMS can also step in and put a state on pause if there are unexpected events, such as large numbers of disenrollments.
When asked how MACPAC can be helpful to states and CMS during the lead-up to January 2027, Ms. Browning emphasized recommendations on outcome measurement, specifically identifying a small set of meaningful measures to best monitor and track eligibility requirements. Other recommendations about member outreach were also suggested.
The cost of IT infrastructure procurement was also discussed, with Commissioners wondering how states can keep costs down. Ms. Knapp emphasized that Administrator Oz was meeting with vendors to figure out solutions to high procurement costs, especially for systems that multiple states would be interested in. Ms. Browning raised the need for continued evaluation of data source costs, specifically for states finding high-value data from lower-cost sources.